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Dati al 1 set 2026, 18:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
27,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
4.8% / 6.1%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
6
Variazione 7g
+1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto23 gen 26, 22:301 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 95% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.