PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92%+0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
758,5 €
Liquidità
7,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
8
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
12 ago 26, 20:42 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lionel Messi be with Inter Miami at the end of 2026?
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LimitlessWill Messi play for the Argentina National Team again?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
- If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 8%.
Riferimento CoinRithm 8% · 2 piattaforme · 0 pt di scarto tra venue