Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 92.1%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
11
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
14 mag 26, 21:51 UTC27 set 26, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026.
- The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
