PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
June 30, 2027 14%+0.5ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
13,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.7 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 21:49 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
- Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.