KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2028 48.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2028 48.5%Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
541,1 €
Open interest
23,7K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 22:00 UTC8 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2028
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegole
If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.