Probabilità implicita attuale
No 98%+0.4pt
Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
800,4 €
Liquidità
12K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.6%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
7 ago 26, 00:53 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
