Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
7.5% (24h)RegolamentazioneOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione1a
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeOther 50%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
21,9 €
Liquidità
29,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
13.0% / 17.0%
Spread
30.8%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
10 lug 26, 1:3631 dic 27, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Other50%
Trend del volume
$2510 lug4g di dati13 lug
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This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".