Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
0.3 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaEuropeGeopolitica3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%+0.3pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
11,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
5.6% / 8.4%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
7
Variazione 7g
+1.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
16 gen 26, 17:39 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 93% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026??
- Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.