Previsione della comunità attuale
No 71.2%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mag 25, 02:16 UTC30 dic 30, 03:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?
ForecastExAccountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?
Manifold MarketsRegole
"Eastern Europe" defined as from a member state that joined after 2003, so including Malta, Cyprus, Czechia and Slovenia who may not archetypically be referred to as Eastern Europe.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve yes, if before 2031 there is a new commission president is a member of a political party from any of the following countries: Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania
- If they are not a member of any political party from a individual state this question will resolve depending on their citizenship(s)
- If there is no new commission president or the new commission president is not from any of the previously mentioned countries this question will resolve no.
- "Commission president" is defined as being inaugurated as the commission president of the European Union.
