PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92.1%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
27 mag 26, 16:45 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President.
- Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.