US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
0.1 pt (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineMiddle East3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%-0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
106,6 €
Liquidità
10,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.4% / 5.2%
Spread
1.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
13 nov 25, 23:10 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
- The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
