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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaRussia / Ukraine18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
June 30
June 30 6%-2.5%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,3K €

Liquidità

15,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 7.0%

Spread

40.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

27 nov 25, 12:4430 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
December 31
December 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
February 28
February 28
0%

Esito scelto

June 306%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Mercati Correlati

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14,8K €
Sì: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

8,8K €
December 31: 33%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

2,7K €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

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Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

65 €
Sì: 13.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.