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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 8%
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

735,3 €

Liquidità

12,2K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

19 giu 26, 1:1731 ago 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes8%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).