PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.0–38.4 67.3%+40.0ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,3K €
Liquidità
2,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
7 set 26, 16:04 UTC11 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 9?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 11?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 26%
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump approval rating on September 11??
- Polymarket quota 38.0–38.4 al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump approval rating on September 11??
- Trump approval rating on September 11? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump approval rating on September 11??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato Trump approval rating on September 11??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.