PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
363,1 €
Liquidità
108,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.0% / 5.5%
Spread
10.0%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.3%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
27 apr 26, 21:254 ott 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Tarcísio de Freitas94%
Confronta le piattaforme· Tarcísio de Freitas
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 94% | 0pt | 363,1 € | 108,2K € | 19 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11,4K € | 19 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
3.0%1a
-3.0%92%
8%
1%
+3 altri esiti
60 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale28,7K €
Volume 24h0,9 €
KALSHIRegole
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gg fa
POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gg faTrend del volume
$4132 lug25g di dati26 lug
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).