PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Probabilità implicita attuale
7-9% 63.3%+6.0pt
In testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità media
Volume 24h
36,7K €
Liquidità
73K €
Alta liquidità
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampio
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 18:326 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share??
Polymarket quota 7-9% al 63% al 4 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share??
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 settembre 2026.
Come viene liquidato Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share??
Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.