PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
3,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
4 set 26, 14:29 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 467,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 461,8K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+21.0pt60.6%
- 140-159+13.1pt23.2%
- 180-199-24.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+4.0pt71.5%
- Before March 2027+3.0pt19%
- Before 2027+2.0pt4.3%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+5.7pt99%
- December 31+3.0pt99%
- September 15-8.9pt1%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-1.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.6pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 altri esiti
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- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket quota October 31 al 76% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).