Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by which date?
33.9 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina10g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 15 3%-33.9pt
October 15 3%-33.9ptQualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,5K €
Liquidità
26,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
2.4% / 2.9%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
-33.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
24 set 26, 19:43 UTC16 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
September 30Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on?
PolymarketBy the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurWill Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
