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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Lecornu out as French PM by...?
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticaEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
2026
2026 28%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

61,9 €

Liquidità

5,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.6%

Spread

200.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.8%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

11 ott 25, 1:4731 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
October 31
October 31
0%
2025
2025
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%

Esito scelto

202628%

Regole

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.

Polymarket
  • He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
  • On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

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Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

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When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

143,2 €
2024: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.

Polymarket
  • He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
  • On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.