PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
10-11 27.4%-4.5ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
224,3 €
Liquidità
17,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
4 set 26, 22:14 UTC27 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- Gavin Newsom14%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel Election: Dems # of seats??
- Polymarket quota 10-11 al 27% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel Election: Dems # of seats??
- Israel Election: Dems # of seats? dovrebbe risolversi il 27 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel Election: Dems # of seats??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.