PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Probabilità implicita attualeJuly 15 100%+78.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
22,7K €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto7 lug 26, 23:1531 lug 26, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
August 31100%
July 15100%
July 12100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Grandi operazioni
$1.2k81.5%Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? — Yesbalthazarl’altro ieri
$1.8k83.3%Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? — YesLabubuBot9000l’altro ieri
Trend del volume
$25.8k8 lug5g di dati12 lug
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KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6K €Sì: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
2,8K €Sì: 94.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal by July 15 priced 0.35% Yes after strikesBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 40% in tight Israel PM race after US-Lebanon talksBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf action fall to 66.5% after Hormuz claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot 39.4% leads Netanyahu in Israel PM raceBlockchain.NewsPolymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by Jul 15 at 0.35% YesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran rise to 16.5% after strike footage reportBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.