PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Very Strong Typhoon
Risolto: 1 set 2026, 11:21
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 11:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
211,1 €
Liquidità
86,3K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 ago 26, 15:12 UTC1 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
