KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 62%+6.0pt
Sì 62%+6.0ptQualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,6K €
Open interest
3,9K €
Open interest medioBid / Ask
57.0% / 62.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
7 ott 26, 15:30 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Hurricane Isaias category?
KalshiWhere will Isaias make landfall as a hurricane?
PolymarketHow strong will Isaias be?
PolymarketWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 scale: https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/GENZ2025/shp/cb2025usstate500k.zip . This is a track-intersection test; a coastal landfall in Alabama is not required. The named storm is Isaias in the 2026 season; the cutoff is the stated calendar date, not the end of the usual hurricane season. Unofficial coordinates and post-storm analyses do not establish a qualifying track segment, and revisions after expiration are disregarded. Trading closes December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. The latest expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST; expiration may move earlier after a qualifying occurrence in accordance with Rule 7.2. Settlement is no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review pursuant to Rule 7.1. The HURPATH outcome-review and indeterminacy provisions remain applicable.
Regole per ogni esito
- Yes
- La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
- No
- La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.