Probabilità implicita attuale
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptQualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
378,1 €
Liquidità
89,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
14 set 26, 22:50 UTC8 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWill Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRegole
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party.
- Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.