KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: At least 25% (98%)
Risolto: 9 ott 2026, 05:08
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 9 ott 2026, 05:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
At least 30%99%
At least 25%87%
At least 5%0%
At least 10%0%
At least 40%10%
At least 20%99%
At least 30%Persa
At least 20%Persa
At least 25%Vinta
At least 15%Persa
At least 40%Persa
At least 35%Persa
At least 5%Persa
At least 10%Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill the New Zealand Green Party get 15.00% of the party vote or more at the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsIf the PM after the next election is Green, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
