PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No change (100%)
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attualeNo change 100%+0.2ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
33,3 Mln €
Liquidità
15,1 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+0.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 88 giorni fa
Obsoleto13 nov 25, 0:4029 apr 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
No change100%
50+ bps decrease0%
decrease0%
increase0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· No change
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 100% | — | 33,3 Mln € | 15,1 Mln € | 88 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets87% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | 88 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Fed decision in April?
Chiusi
Risolto
No change (99%)
99%
0.6%
0.3%
+1 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità26 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
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Fed decision in Jul 2026?
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KALSHI
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
74,6K €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
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Fed rate hike by which date?
51,9K €October Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
37,8K €Dissent: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
35,7K €Above 3.75%: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRegole
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.