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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sergio Meneguelli 34.3%+14.5ptIn testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
7,7K €
Liquidità
76,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ago 26, 9:594 ott 26, 6:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 altri esiti
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket quota Sergio Meneguelli al 34% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
- Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.