PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 2.6% (100%)
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 14 lug 2026, 14:37 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Probabilità implicita attuale2.6% 100%+99.9ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
20,5K €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Variazione 7g
-47.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 giorni fa
Obsoleto10 giu 26, 15:4415 lug 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
2.8%53%
2.9%54%
3.1%1%
≥3.3%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· 2.6%
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 53% | — | 1,3K € | 36,4K € | 13 giorni fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Bassa | 100% | — | 20,5K € | 0 € | 12 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?
2.0 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Exactly 2.6% (1%)
-1.0pt46.1%
-1.0pt29.6%
-2.0pt10.4%
+13 altri esiti
30 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale665,8K €
Volume 24h1,3K €
KALSHIRegole
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$23.3k2 lug14g di dati15 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed rate hike by which date?
67,9K €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
79,9K €Sì: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
18K €Above 3.4%: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
US Core PCE (June 2026)
5,4K €0.0: 98%ROTHERA
ROTHERA
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
5,2K €Above 3.4%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will core PCE increase in Jun 2026?
2,4K €Above 0.2%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Rate path still divides investors: Five things to know in Bitcoin this weekCointelegraph
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.NewsRegole
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.