PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Down 87.1%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
226,1 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
6.0% / 19.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
27 gen 26, 22:29 UTC30 apr 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4K €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume totale
- 8,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume totale
- 14,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 608,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume totale
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Canada's population Up or Down this year??
- Polymarket quota Down al 87% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Canada's population Up or Down this year??
- Canada's population Up or Down this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Canada's population Up or Down this year??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.