Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 71.8%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto1 gen 26, 03:31 UTC31 dic 26, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Chicago tax revenue declines three years in a row due to flight from the city.
Manifold MarketsCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- Statistics Canada officially projects 0.3% population growth in 2025, to be followed by negative 0.2% in 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Canada's total population on December 31, 2026 is lower than on January 1, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada population estimates, available at Statistics Canada's population estimates page.
- Jan 1 2026: 41,548,511
- The government's 2025–2027 immigration plan proposes a substantial reduction of admissions of new permanent residents and a decrease in the number of non-permanent residents living in the country, with the goal of pausing population growth in the short term.
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 51K €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 17,9K €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,9K €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44K €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Volume totale
- 893,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6K €
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
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- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 72% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Canada's population declines in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria