California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
4.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezionePolitica USA6g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Riferimento salvato
No 90%
No 90%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
242,2 €
Liquidità
15,1K €
Liquidità mediaOpen interest
392,8 USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 22:44 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
KalshiWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California pass a wealth tax referendum in 2026?
PredictItAndy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026
Manifold MarketsRegole
Propositions 40, 41, and 42 are California ballot measures currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- Proposition 40 would apply a one-time 5% wealth tax on the assets of roughly 200 California billionaires, to be paid over five years.
- Proposition 41 would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap.
- Proposition 42 would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property.
- Under the California Constitution, Article II, Section 10, subdivision (b), “if provisions of two or more measures approved at the same election conflict, the provisions of the measure receiving the highest number of affirmative votes shall prevail.” Therefore, if either Proposition 41 or 42 receive a higher number of affirmative votes than Proposition 40, its proposed wealth tax would not take effect.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Proposition 40 is approved by a majority of voters and receives more valid affirmative votes than both Proposition 41 and Proposition 42 individually at the specified election.