California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
1.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneUS Politics1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 57%+1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
17,2 €
Liquidità
14,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
27.0% / 58.0%
Spread
31.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 22:44 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiRegole
Propositions 40, 41, and 42 are California ballot measures currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- Proposition 40 would apply a one-time 5% wealth tax on the assets of roughly 200 California billionaires, to be paid over five years.
- Proposition 41 would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap.
- Proposition 42 would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property.
- Under the California Constitution, Article II, Section 10, subdivision (b), “if provisions of two or more measures approved at the same election conflict, the provisions of the measure receiving the highest number of affirmative votes shall prevail.” Therefore, if either Proposition 41 or 42 receive a higher number of affirmative votes than Proposition 40, its proposed wealth tax would not take effect.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Proposition 40 is approved by a majority of voters and receives more valid affirmative votes than both Proposition 41 and Proposition 42 individually at the specified election.