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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneBusiness & Corporate4m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 84%-2.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

9,5 €

Liquidità

264 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

77.0% / 82.0%

Spread

6.5%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

1 nov 25, 14:003 nov 26, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes84%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

1.0%13g
Sì
Sì
-0.0%88%
No
No
+0.0%13%
60 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale115,5K €
Volume 24h13,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,741.94+1.93%EthereumETH$1,655.80+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$599.21+2.18%

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Regole

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.