Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
One-OffPoliticaElezioneBusiness & Corporate3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 91%
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
41,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
91.6% / 95.9%
Spread
4.7%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
1 nov 25, 14:003 nov 26, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes91%
Confronta le piattaforme· Yes
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto61% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 100% | — | 2,6K € | 0 € | 29 giorni fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 91% | — | 0 € | 41,5K € | 14 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5%Chiusi
Risolto
Sì (100%)
+0.4%100%
-0.4%0%
63 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale217,2K €
Volume 24h2,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$102 lug22g di dati25 lug
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.