PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 54%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
684,5 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 80.0%
Spread
68.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 22:34 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 697,7K €
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per California Recall Election Reform Proposition?
- Polymarket quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve California Recall Election Reform Proposition?
- California Recall Election Reform Proposition dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato California Recall Election Reform Proposition?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.