PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeDemocratic Party 87%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
217,9 €
Liquidità
26,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
+2.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
28 gen 26, 16:243 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party87%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 26,5K € | 17 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi60% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 80% | — | 0 € | 11,9K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
CA-45 House winner?
1a
80.8%
19.2%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale16,6K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$2485 lug16g di dati27 lug
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.