PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeDemocratic Party 93%-1.0%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
40,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.1%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
28 gen 26, 6:093 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party93%
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
CA-01 House winner?
1a
97%
3%
40 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale895,9 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
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516,6K €Gavin Newsom: 21%POLYMARKET
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Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467,9K €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
369,2K €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
60,1K €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
43,8K €Sì: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
IL-10 House Election Winner
4,8K €Democratic Party: 94%POLYMARKET
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.