PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeDemocratic Party 99%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
19,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
0.4% / 1.5%
Spread
1.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-2.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 28 minuti fa
28 gen 26, 6:093 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party96%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 96% | — | 0 € | 19,1K € | 28 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi60% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 99% | — | 0 € | 5,2 € | 26 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
CA-04 House winner?
Chiusi
Risolto
Democratic party (99%)
98%
2%
34 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale1K €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$56 lug19g di dati25 lug
Mercati Correlati
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KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.