Probabilità implicita attuale
AfD 84%+7.5pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
82.0% / 86.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+6.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 18:18 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both AfD and SPD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD??
- Polymarket quota AfD al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD??
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.