Probabilità implicita attuale
AfD 29.5%-3.0ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
61,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 01:15 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
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KalshiRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket quota AfD al 29% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.