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Dati al 9 set 2026, 07:07 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Labor 0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
8 set 26, 23:00 UTC28 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Victorian Electoral Commission
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested.
- A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes.
- In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally.
- If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. Unlisted parties or groupings count toward rankings and the tie denominator; if only unlisted parties occupy third place, all listed markets resolve to No.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place??
- Kalshi quota Labor al 0% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place??
- Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.