MyriadProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 6.8%
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
311,5 €
Liquidità
1,3K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
-
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
17 dic 25, 15:0931 lug 26, 23:59
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
YES7%
Confronta le piattaforme· NO
Ordinato per volume 24h| Piattaforma | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyriadQuesta paginaPiù attiva | 93% | — | 311,5 € | 1,3K € | 7 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets | 92% | — | — | — | 7 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026?
23g
8.3%
91.7%
Previsione della comunità109 previsoriTipo: binary
Volume totale10,9K €
Volume 24h0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends