Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Corporate ActionsIAYearlyBusiness & CorporateTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 68.9%
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26
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 25, 20:19 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Yann LeCun's AMI (props)
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?
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FutuurLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if LeCun's startup reaches a valuation of $100M or higher by December 31, 2027.
- Valuation will be determined by the most recent funding round, acquisition price, or public market valuation (if applicable) as of the resolution date.
- If the startup is acquired or merges before reaching $100M valuation, the deal valuation at close determines the outcome.
- If the startup dissolves or becomes inactive before the deadline, the market resolves NO.
- Yann LeCun is leaving his job as Meta's chief AI scientist at the end of the year after 12 years at the company, where he was the founding director of Fundamental AI Research (FAIR).
Mercati aperti
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 38,9K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 altri esiti
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027??
- Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria