Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026?
One-OffCinaCriminalità e giustiziaPolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.7%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto27 gen 26, 18:11 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.
- Resolves YES if he is confirmed to be alive and not in prison at any time before 2027.
- Resolves NO if he remains in prison or "disappeared" throughout all of 2026.
- Resolves NO if he is dead.
- Resolves NO if no new information about his whereabouts is revealed.