Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 87.1%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto28 dic 23, 00:54 UTC2 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6447.1%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.4%
- <40-4.5pt14.7%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 31,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 18,4K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume totale
- 8,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-3.0pt8%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 971,7 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume totale
- 14K €
- Volume 24h
- 529,3 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 515,8 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,8 €
- Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will William Shatner be alive by Jan 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will William Shatner be alive by Jan 1, 2027??
- Will William Shatner be alive by Jan 1, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.