Previsione della comunità attuale
No 69.3%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto1 gen 24, 21:23 UTC1 mar 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsWill Recep Tayyip Erdogan stop being the leader of Turkey before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRegole
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China.
- AGI questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China??
- Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.