Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto13 dic 25, 17:56 UTC31 dic 29, 12:58 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will victor orban flee to US by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiRegole
Currently president position is symbolic in Hungary.
- It is speculated by some journalists he may attempt to increase the power of the president while he is prime minister, and then run for the president position to stay in power.
- Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve by the end of 2029 (when the next indirect voting for president takes place).
- Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve early if Orban dies
- Market can resolve YES even if Hungary splits, gets renamed, or changes constitution (does not require Orban to be president of the same state)
