Previsione della comunità attuale
No 85.1%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto17 giu 23, 06:20 UTC31 dic 29, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will USDT de-peg to less than 0.9 USD (90 cents) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether ever see a haircut?
Manifold MarketsUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
KalshiWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketRegole
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.