Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.7%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 gen 26, 16:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the USA controls Venezuela by December 31, 2026. "Control" is defined as the Trump administration's stated objective of running the country until a political transition occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by whether the US maintains effective administrative and military control over Venezuelan territory and governance, as evidenced by:
- Continued US military presence and operational authority in Venezuela
- US direction of Venezuelan government functions and policy
- US control over Venezuelan oil infrastructure and resource extraction