Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.9%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto20 ago 25, 09:48 UTC20 ago 27, 09:47 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).
- Resolves NO if Trump leaves office without wearing a crown.
- Update 2025-08-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Expansive definition: Includes crown-like headpieces (e.g., coronets).
- Excludes: Cheap costume or gimmick crowns.
- Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A proper replica of a real historical crown would count for resolution
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Will Trump Wear a Crown? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 agosto 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).