Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticaSociety & Culture2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 68.2%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto25 gen 25, 23:35 UTC16 feb 29, 05:59 UTC
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FutuurRegole
From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News
- However, it remains an open question what will happen to existing U.S. passports that were issued with an “X” in the Sex field, particularly over the short term.
- This question resolves YES if any existing, unexpired U.S. passport is actually revoked, solely on the basis of its having an “X” in the Sex field, before the deadline(s) given below.
- Generally, if a U.S. passport requires renewal or replacement, and its holder is required to select “M” or “F” in the Sex field as a condition of that renewal or replacement, that will NOT cause this question to resolve.
- However, if any U.S. passport holder is required by the U.S. passport office to renew their passport solely in order to get rid of an “X” in the Sex field, this question resolves YES.
- This question resolves YES if more than 5 unique States contain any international airport, sea port, or border crossing which officially maintains policy to regard passports with an “X” in the Sex field as being invalid.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term??
- Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News