Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
Politica USAOne-OffCriminalità e giustizia2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.3%
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Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo12 giu 23, 13:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison.
- Any sentence based on conviction in a criminal case counts.
- Pretrial confinement does not count (although this would be extremely unlikely anyway).
